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Point Spread Probabilities

HOUSTON (42-40) @ MIAMI (48-39)

Team	Win	Loss	Home	Road	Conf	Div	pf	pa	Point Diff	Home Point Diff	Road Point Diff
HOUSTON	42	40	23-18	19-22	28-24	9-7	102	103	-0.37	1.54	-2.27
MIAMI	48	39	25-18	23-21	33-24	9-7	96	94	1.68	3.44	-0.04

Offensive and Defensive Rankings

MIAMI's #26 Offense vs. HOUSTON's #21 Defense
HOUSTON's #7 Offense Vs. MIAMI's #3 Defense

MIAMI's #26 Home Offense vs. HOUSTON's #18 Road Defense
HOUSTON's #7 Road Offense Vs. MIAMI's #3 Home Defense

Weighted Averages
Help with weights

Rank Team pct Pyth % Pts PF PA Point Difference Adjusted Difference Margin of Victory Margin of Defeat Opp point diff Opp win % Total Points

16 HOUSTON 0.512 0.487517 0.499108 102.378 102.744 -0.37 -0.2800 9.71429 10.95 0.0578 0.502241 205.122

13 MIAMI 0.552 0.561412 0.504409 96 94.3218 1.68 1.3920 12.8125 12.0256 -0.2787 0.489007 190.322

Rank Team pct Pyth % Pts PF PA Point Difference Adjusted Difference Margin of Victory Margin of Defeat Opp point diff Opp win % Total Points

15 HOUSTON on the road 0.463 0.423175 0.494469 101.39 103.659 -2.27 0.5830 10.0526 12.9091 2.84953 0.595977 205.049

13 MIAMI at home 0.581 0.623964 0.509042 96.8837 93.4419 3.44 0.6490 13.08 9.94444 -2.78233 0.399124 190.326

HOUSTON

Rest Between Games Record

Rest Days Overall Home to Home Home to Road Road to Road Road to Home

Back to Back 10-12 45.45 % -1.1 -- 2-5 28.57 % -4.6 3-4 42.86 % -4.7 5-3 62.50 % 5.0

2 days 20-19 51.28 % 0.8 8-8 50.00 % 1.0 4-3 57.14 % 1.7 5-5 50.00 % -2.4 3-3 50.00 % 4.7

3 days 9-5 64.29 % 0.4 3-0 100.00 % 5.3 2-2 50.00 % -2.2 2-1 66.67 % 4.3 2-2 50.00 % -3.8

4 days 3-2 60.00 % -4.8 0-1 0.00 % -31.0 1-1 50.00 % -5.5 -- 2-0 100.00 % 9.0

7 days 0-1 0.00 % -9.0 -- -- -- 0-1 0.00 % -9.0

all days -- 11-9 55.00 % 0.1 9-11 45.00 % -2.0 10-10 50.00 % -2.2 12-9 57.14 % 3.0

About this table

MIAMI

Rest Between Games Record

Rest Days Overall Home to Home Home to Road Road to Road Road to Home

Back to Back 8-10 44.44 % -4.8 -- 2-3 40.00 % -9.6 4-7 36.36 % -7.3 2-0 100.00 % 21.0

2 days 30-19 61.22 % 3.1 10-9 52.63 % 1.3 6-3 66.67 % 3.3 7-4 63.64 % 6.3 7-3 70.00 % 3.0

3 days 6-8 42.86 % 3.4 1-2 33.33 % -3.3 2-3 40.00 % 0.0 1-1 50.00 % 0.0 2-2 50.00 % 14.5

4 days 2-1 66.67 % -1.7 1-1 50.00 % -4.5 -- -- 1-0 100.00 % 4.0

5 days 0-1 0.00 % -13.0 -- -- -- 0-1 0.00 % -13.0

6 days 1-0 100.00 % 27.0 -- -- 1-0 100.00 % 27.0 --

all days -- 12-12 50.00 % 0.2 10-9 52.63 % -0.9 13-12 52.00 % 0.6 12-6 66.67 % 6.7

About this table

Stats

Over all Stats

1 2 3 4 Total

HOUSTON 26.43 26.16 26.16 24.49 102

MIAMI 25.43 23.68 23.68 22.15 96

HOUSTON MIAMI

Field Goad % 0.447 0.457

Free Throw % 0.772 0.751

Three Point % 0.351 0.348

Recounds 41.976 41.563

Off Rebounds 11.841 10.598

Def Rebounds 30.134 30.966

Assists 21.829 18.805

Steals 7.11 7.356

Block Shots 3.89 5.54

Turn Overs 13.805 12.54

Points off Turnovers 16.878 16.31

MIAMI at home

1 2 3 4 Total

Opponants 24.16 23.51 22.16 22.58 93

MIAMI 25.86 24.05 23.7 22.28 97

MIAMI Opponants

Field Goad % 0.458 0.445

Free Throw % 0.744 NA

Three Point % 0.348 NA

Recounds 41.395 40.721

Off Rebounds 10.279 9.512

Def Rebounds 31.116 31.209

Assists 18.395 17.674

Steals 7.558 6.186

Block Shots 5.791 8.744

Turn Overs 12 14.279

Points off Turnovers 17.047 13.628

HOUSTON on the Road

1 2 3 4 Total

HOUSTON 25.41 26.78 24.12 24.32 101

Opponants 28.27 26.17 23.51 24.66 104

HOUSTON Opponants

Field Goad % 0.438 0.479

Free Throw % 0.795 NA

Three Point % 0.353 NA

Recounds 42.317 42.268

Off Rebounds 12.268 10.488

Def Rebounds 30.049 31.78

Assists 21.341 21.634

Steals 7.732 7.854

Block Shots 3.561 12.976

Turn Overs 14.78 14.829

Points off Turnovers 17.659 17.317

MIAMI

min fg ft 3p Off Reb Reb Ast st blk TO Pts

D.Wade 0:36:35 0.482 0.754 0.311 1.4 4.9 6.6 1.8 1.1 3.4 26.9

M.Beasley 0:29:35 0.448 0.8 0.279 1.6 6.4 1.2 1 0.6 1.7 14.5

J.O`Neal 0:28:12 0.514 0.709 0 1.8 6.9 1.3 0.4 1.4 1.8 13

U.Haslem 0:27:56 0.49 0.759 0 2.1 8.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 1 9.7

Q.Richardson 0:27:24 0.427 0.737 0.395 0.8 4.9 1.3 1 0.2 0.8 8.9

M.Chalmers 0:24:50 0.405 0.756 0.32 0.3 1.8 3.3 1.2 0.2 1.7 7.4

D.Wright 0:20:58 0.461 0.893 0.383 0.7 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.8 7

C.Arroyo 0:21:58 0.472 0.848 0.269 0.4 1.8 3 0.5 0.1 0.7 6

D.Cook 0:15:29 0.332 0.84 0.328 0.2 1.8 1 0.3 0.2 0.5 5.2

J.Anthony 0:16:25 0.491 0.719 0 1.5 3 0.2 0.3 1.3 0.5 2.7

R.Alston 0:26:09 0.349 0.556 0.36 0.2 2.1 2.8 0.9 0.2 1.4 6.5

J.Jones 0:13:50 0.358 0.833 0.407 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 4

J.Magloire 0:09:50 0.483 0.356 0 1.1 3.3 0 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.1

S.Randolph 0:15:35 0.333 0 0 2.3 4.3 0 0.3 0.3 0.7 3.3

Y.Diawara 0:07:24 0.2 0 0.167 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0 0.5 0.8

Totals 0.457 0.751 0.348 10.598 41.563 18.805 7.356 5.54 12.54 96

HOUSTON

min fg ft 3p Off Reb Reb Ast st blk TO Pts

A.Brooks 0:35:36 0.432 0.822 0.398 0.7 2.6 5.3 0.8 0.2 2.8 19.6

L.Scola 0:32:34 0.514 0.779 0.2 2.1 8.6 2.1 0.8 0.3 2 16.2

T.Ariza 0:36:30 0.394 0.649 0.334 1.1 5.6 3.8 1.8 0.6 2.2 14.9

C.Landry 0:27:12 0.547 0.839 0 2.3 5.5 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.7 16.1

C.Budinger 0:20:06 0.441 0.77 0.369 0.5 3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 8.9

K.Lowry 0:24:17 0.397 0.827 0.272 1.3 3.6 4.5 0.9 0.1 1.7 9.1

S.Battier 0:32:21 0.398 0.726 0.362 1.1 4.7 2.4 0.8 1.1 1 8

K.Martin 0:35:46 0.435 0.924 0.31 0.4 2.9 2.2 1 0.1 2.4 21.2

D.Andersen 0:14:08 0.432 0.687 0.346 0.9 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 5.8

C.Hayes 0:21:37 0.489 0.545 0 1.8 5.7 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.9 4.4

J.Hill 0:16:10 0.532 0.66 0 1.9 5 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.8 6.4

J.Taylor 0:09:45 0.378 0.717 0.227 0.7 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.1

J.Jeffries 0:18:25 0.429 0.556 0.111 1.7 3.6 1 0.5 0.7 0.8 4.9

G.Temple 0:13:06 0.448 0.667 0.25 0.2 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.6 5

M.Harris 0:10:17 0.37 0.556 0 1.1 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.1 3.1

B.Cook 0:02:57 0.304 0.714 0.222 0.1 0.6 0.1 0 0.1 0.4 1.4

T.McGrady 0:07:37 0.368 0.667 0.5 0 0.8 1 0 0.3 0.2 3.2

J.Dorsey 0:07:45 0.455 0.5 0 1.6 3.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.6

H.Armstrong 0:04:28 0.294 0 0 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.6 0 0.6 1.1

W.Conroy 0:07:10 0.3 0 0 0 0.6 1.4 0 0 0.8 1.2

P.Mensah-Bonsu 0:03:09 0.25 0.5 0 0.2 1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 1.2

Totals 0.447 0.772 0.351 11.841 41.976 21.829 7.11 3.89 13.805 102

Injuries

HOUSTON

Player	Date	Status
Yao Ming	Jul 27	Day-to-Day
Comment: Yao is considering quitting basketball after next season if he doesn't fully recover from his lingering foot injury, the Associated Press.

source ESPN

MIAMI

Player	Date	Status
Mario Chalmers	Jul 14	OUT
Comment: Chalmers has a high left ankle sprain and will be in a cast for two to four weeks, the Associated Press reports.

source ESPN

Head to head

The series is tied (2-2) within the last 4 games.
HOUSTON is 1-1 in MIAMI

2008-11-24	HOUSTON	107
2008-11-24	MIAMI	98	Box
2009-01-17	MIAMI	86
2009-01-17	HOUSTON	93	Box
2010-01-15	MIAMI	115
2010-01-15	HOUSTON	106	Box
2010-02-09	HOUSTON	66
2010-02-09	MIAMI	99	Box

Past Games

MIAMI 5-5 point diff: -2.1

2010-04-07 PHILADELPHIA 95

MIAMI 99 Box

2010-04-09 DETROIT 106

MIAMI 99 Box

2010-04-11 MIAMI 111

NEW YORK 98 Box

2010-04-12 MIAMI 107

PHILADELPHIA 105 Box

2010-04-14 NEW JERSEY 86

MIAMI 94 Box

2010-04-17 MIAMI 76

BOSTON 85 Box

2010-04-20 MIAMI 77

BOSTON 106 Box

2010-04-23 BOSTON 100

MIAMI 98 Box

2010-04-25 BOSTON 92

MIAMI 101 Box

2010-04-27 MIAMI 86

BOSTON 96 Box

HOUSTON 6-4 point diff: -1.3

2010-03-30 WASHINGTON 94

HOUSTON 98 Box

2010-03-31 HOUSTON 102

SAN ANTONIO 119 Box

2010-04-02 HOUSTON 119

BOSTON 114 Box

2010-04-04 HOUSTON 102

INDIANA 133 Box

2010-04-06 HOUSTON 113

MEMPHIS 103 Box

2010-04-07 UTAH 96

HOUSTON 113 Box

2010-04-09 CHARLOTTE 90

HOUSTON 97 Box

2010-04-11 HOUSTON 106

PHOENIX 116 Box

2010-04-12 HOUSTON 117

SACRAMENTO 107 Box

2010-04-14 NEW ORLEANS 123

HOUSTON 115 Box